The idea of trading prices, as opposed to physical goods, eventually made its way to other markets. In 1981, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) launched the first cash-settled futures contract on the Eurodollar. Essentially, upon expiration of a cash-settled futures contract, the seller of the contact does not physically deliver the underlying asset but instead transfers the associated cash position. Once the US Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) approved the Eurodollar futures contract, exchanges began listing cash-settled futures contracts on traditional commodities.

The BSE, NSE, forex and money market remain closed today on account of Ganesh Chaturthi. Indian shares ended higher on Wednesday, snapping two sessions of declines. The rupee recovered sharply following reports that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will review economic situation over the weekend and that a rate hike is not ruled out. Rupee rebounded to 71.90 against the US dollar, from a record low of 72.92 hit earlier in the session. The broader NSE Nifty closed 0.73% firmer at 11,369.90 while the benchmark BSE Sensex ended 0.81% higher at 37,717.96.
The idea of trading prices, as opposed to physical goods, eventually made its way to other markets. In 1981, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) launched the first cash-settled futures contract on the Eurodollar. Essentially, upon expiration of a cash-settled futures contract, the seller of the contact does not physically deliver the underlying asset but instead transfers the associated cash position. Once the US Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) approved the Eurodollar futures contract, exchanges began listing cash-settled futures contracts on traditional commodities.
There is much debate on market efficiency i.e. how well and how fast the markets incorporate information about future profits. It is of note that on certain occasions the market can appear relatively random. One example is the October 1987 market crash (Black Monday) where the international stock markets, including the US, fell 20% or more in a single day. Subsequent analysis by Robert Shiller, the Nobel Prize winning economist, based on surveying investors suggested that the decline was due to investor psychology and did not have an obvious external cause. If true, this creates a substantial challenge for market timing because such ephemeral causes can be extremely hard to predict and forecast. It is one thing to forecast and predict something that is rational, but quite another to predict something that may, at times, hinge on the whims of human psychology.
Wheat: Wheat grows on six continents and for centuries has been one of the most important food crops in the world. Traders compare wheat prices to other grains such as corn, oats and barley. Since these commodities can be substituted for one another, changes in their relative prices can shift demand between them and other products such as soybeans. Demand for cheap and nutritious food sources in developing nations should continue to drive interest in the wheat market.
If individual days can affect performance so dramatically, then why not be in the market for the good ones and out for the bad ones? Far easier said than done. Many investors try to time the market, chasing today's hot investment or fleeing the latest downturn. Such a short-term perspective can harm performance and jeopardize your long-term financial goals.
Gasoline: The main use of this refined crude oil product is as a source of fuel for cars, light-duty trucks and motorcycles. Gasoline prices can have an enormous effect on the overall economy since demand for the commodity is generally inelastic. That is, consumers need to put gasoline in their vehicles to go to work, school and other essential activities. Many traders trade crack spreads, which are the differences between crude oil prices and the price of refined crude products such as gasoline.
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Crude Oil: This commodity has the largest impact on the global economy. Not only is crude oil used in a variety of forms of transportation including cars, trains, jets and ships, it is also used in the production of plastics, synthetic textiles (acrylic, nylon, spandex and polyester), fertilizers, computers, cosmetics and more. If you take into account the input cost of transportation, crude oil plays a role in the production of virtually every commodity.
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Mr. Bear however, has been assigned a totally different mission.  When it’s his turn he has been tasked to use those very same investors to power the trend to un-dreamed of lows.  This is a mission even more difficult than Mr. Bull’s because counter to Mr. Bull it’s Mr. Bear’s duty to actually keep those investors in the market despite it falling over time, which is no easy task. This is because if these investors just gave up and left the market it would simply stop going down.   His mission requires a particularly high level of deviance to pull off.  It’s why Mr. Market retains a particularly fond place in his heart for Mr. Bear, since Mr. Market has a diabolical nature and like the Grand Inquisitor, he has no problem drawing blood.
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Weather can play an important role in determining many commodity prices. In the agricultural sector, prolonged drought conditions or excessive rainfall can limit crop yields and cause prices to rise. In the energy sector, hurricanes, storms or extremely cold weather can curtail drilling or refining activity and create supply shortfalls. Severe winter weather can create excessive demand for heating and cause big increases in prices of commodities such as natural gas and heating oil. Extremely warm weather, on the other hand, could raise demand for electricity needed to power air conditioning units.

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The Smart Money Flow Index (SMFI) has been one of the best kept secrets of Wall Street! It was developed by WallStreetCourier.com in 1997 and is a trademark of WallStreetCourier.com. The SMFI provides both short-term traders and long-term investors with a unique indicator to quickly identify major trend reversals as it called every major trend reversal since we are online! The SMFI is published at the end of each day, and it is available to all subscribers. We also provide historical charts as well as a data download (csv-file) for those looking to dig deeper into the data.
There have also been on-and-off concerns about rising interest rates. Though we're still well below the historic average for the federal funds target rate, the Federal Reserve is very clearly in a monetary tightening mode. As rates rise, lending becomes more expensive, putting a cap on corporate growth potential and exposing certain companies valued at high premiums.
The recent upswing in NG prices has been an incredible trade for many, yet we believe a top is now forming in Natural Gas that could catch many traders by surprise.  The recent upside gap in price and upward price volatility would normally not concern long traders.  They would likely view this as a tremendous success for their long NG positions, yet we believe this move is about to come to a dramatic end – fairly quickly.
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