Since there are a glut of fundamental and technical indicators available – many of which conflict – which do you follow? In other words, how do you react when the employment rate is dropping, but stocks rise to new highs on increased earnings? Should you buy when stocks are well below historical price-to-earnings ratios despite high volume selling? For every report and survey suggesting one direction, there is usually a contradicting indicator that suggests the opposite.
Raymond A. Merriman is a market analyst and editor of the MMA Cycles Report, an advisory market letter used by financial institutions, investors, and traders throughout the world since 1981. He also edits the SOS Special Stock Market Report, which is issued 8 times per year and continually updates the status of long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, and individual stocks. Mr. Merriman has worked as an Investment Advisor for Prudential Securities and Shearson Lehman Hutton, as well as Accounts Vice-President of Retail Commodity Futures for Pain Webber Inc., between 1986-1994. He is the author of "Merriman on Market Cycles: The Basics," (1994) "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes," (1997) "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlation to Trading Cycles," (2001), and "The Sun, The Moon, and the Silver Market: Secrets of a Silver Trader" (1992).
Certainly, there are strong opinions on the efficacy of timing methods, perhaps driven by their promise of great rewards. While some assert that timing the market is possible and highly profitable, others claim that market timing is either impossible or not worth the risk. Nonetheless, it remains to be seen which of these market timing strategies will stand the test of time, if any, and what new ones will be developed. Much research and testing still needs to be done to legitimize market timing theories among academics and investors alike.
Eventually, however, the ancient Greeks and Romans settled on gold and silver as the favored currencies for transacting business in commodities. These civilizations prized gold and silver for their luster and physical beauty. In addition, since gold and silver are rare and can be melted, shaped and measured into coins of equal size, they logically evolved into monetary assets. Ultimately, exchanging gold for goods and services became the preferred means of commerce in the ancient world and led gold to become the first widely traded commodity.
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The first stock exchange formed in Belgium around 1531, and by the early 1600s, the Dutch, British and French governments began chartering companies to invest in voyages to the East Indies and Asia. The goal of these trips was to bring back spices, silk and other treasures. However, the sailors faced risks including Barbary pirates, bad weather and poor navigation. To diversify their risks, traders would bet on several voyages at the same time. A separate limited liability company financed each voyage, and together they formed the first commodity company investments.
The following is a list of opening and closing times for stock and futures exchanges worldwide. It includes a partial list of stock exchanges and the corresponding times the exchange opens and closes, along with the time zone within which the exchange is located. Markets are open Monday through Friday and closed on Saturday and Sunday in their respective local time zones.[1]
Have you heard about the Everything Bubble? Some analysts believe that after the dot-com bubble of the 1990s and the housing bubble of the 2000s, we are in the middle of a price bubble in virtually all asset classes simultaneously caused by the Fed’s unusually easy monetary policy with ultra low interest rates. Although we agree that the US central bank maintained federal funds rate too low for too long, the narrative about a dangerous bubble inflating in a wide variety of countries, industries, and assets does not make sense. The bubble means that the price of an asset deviates from the fundamental value, increasing excessively, to a much greater extent than on other markets. It should be now clear that the existence of overvalued assets necessarily means that other assets are undervalued, so there can’t be the ‘everything bubble’. Sorry, but those who wait for the total asset apocalypse might be disappointed.
Agricultural: This category includes food crops (e.g., corn, cotton and soybeans), livestock (e.g., cattle, hogs and pork bellies) and industrial crops (e.g., lumber, rubber and wool). In India, NCDEX that is National Commodity and Derivative Exchange is the platform for the traders in Agri. MCX have those but the volume is much-much higher in that.
Monday to Friday:10:00 A.M. to 11:30 P.M. (up to 11:55 P.M. on account of day light savings typically between every November and March of the following year). As per the notifications of SEBI, Agri-commodities are available for futures trading up to 5:00 p.m. while other commodities such as Bullions, Metals and Energy products are available up to 11:30 pm / 11.55 PM and International referenceable Agri-commodities are available up to 09:00 pm / 09.30 PM.
A few of these holidays also lead to early closes on additional days. For example, on the Friday after Thanksgiving Day, the stock market closes after 1:00 p.m. ET. If Christmas Eve or the day before Independence Day fall on a weekday, those days are also subject to early closes, with the market again closing at 1:00 p.m. If Independence Day is a Saturday, then Friday, July 3, is still recognized as a holiday and the exchanges are closed.
Jump up ^ "What are the trading hours for TSE-listed products?". FAQ - General. Tokyo Stock Exchange. Retrieved February 5, 2015. Trading hours for most TSE-listed securities is 9:00-15:00 with a break from 11:30-12:30. Certain bond securities trade only in the afternoon session, and some other securities have different schedules for acceptance and execution of orders.

Two hallmarks characterize capitalist economies. Firstly, property is predominately in private hands. Consequently, goods and services are allocated via market mechanisms in which prices provide signals for businesses, workers, and consumers. Secondly, capitalist economies are highly capitalized. Indeed, the stocks of physical and human capital are relatively large in relation to the capitalist economies’ income flows.

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Futures are a derivative product that allows traders to gain exposure to commodity prices without physically taking possession of the asset. With these contracts, traders agree to purchase a certain amount of a commodity at a date in the future (the expiration date). The trader pays for the contract at the time of purchase. If prices rise between the purchase date and the expiration date, the trader will profit, whereas if prices fall, the trader will lose money.
Markets are deceptive…but we all know that.  Beyond deceptive, markets are actually down right diabolical.  Mr. Market operates through his two most trustworthy lieutenants Mr. Bull and Mr. Bear.  He has tasked Mr. Bull to climb and reach the top of the mountain using investors buying power to fuel the rise.  But he has also instructed Mr. Bull to not allow those same investors to complete the journey themselves, he wants to reach the top without them.  It’s a hard job to pull off and Mr Bull needs to use every trick in the book to throw off these investors after they use their money to power the trend upward.  It’s a process that takes time and Mr. Bull’s prime tools are greed and fear in the minds of investors.
This is consistent with a J.P. Morgan Asset Management report published in 2016, "Staying Invested During Volatile Markets," which found that around 60% of the biggest single-day percentage gains in the S&P 500 occurred within two weeks of one of its top-10 largest percentage declines between 1995 and 2014. This means even if you're lucky enough to hit the nail on the head once in a while, no one has the foresight to correctly predict every major pop and plunge in these major indexes with any consistency.
We know this because the series is pure chance and what seemed like an inevitable rise or a decline was just the random number generator being... random. This is important to note, because our brains can often read meaning into things when there’s no meaning to be had. In fact, psychologists even have a word for seeing patterns that aren’t there – apophenia.
The economic principle of substitution creates a risk of investing in any commodity. As prices for a particular commodity climb, buyers will seek cheaper substitutions, if available. For example, cheaper metals such as aluminum often substitute for copper in many industrial applications. Similarly, farmers may substitute between corn, oats, wheat and barley as livestock feed based on price.
The client code modification will be allowed only during 5.00 p.m. to 05.15 p.m. in respect of contracts traded up to 05.00 p.m. and during 11.30 p.m. to 11.45 p.m. for contracts traded up to 11.30 p.m. on all trading days. In respect of the trading days when the trading take place up to 11.55 p.m., the client code modification will be allowed only from 11.55 p.m. up to 11.59 p.m.

The chart below shows two hypothetical investments in the S&P 500 over the 20-year period ending December 31, 2017. Each investor contributed $10,000 every year. One investor somehow managed to pick the very best day (the market low) of each year to invest. The average annual return on that investment would have been 9.95%. The other investor was not so lucky and actually picked the worst day (market high) each year. Even with the worst investment timing, the average annual return would have been 7.76%. At the end of 20 years, the cumulative investment of $200,000 had a value of $456,462.
So the market may be less driven by predictable patterns than our brains may lead us to believe. The track record of investors actually timing the market has been poor, perhaps due to emotions clouding judgement, and some past events such as the October 1987 market crash appear extremely hard to forecast because the causes of them are unclear, or at least still debated, even decades after the event. Then there are structural factors against market timing too in terms of both taxes, direct costs and the opportunity cost of being out of a market that has historically risen in value over time. To say nothing of the cost of your time. All of this is not to say that timing is impossible, but the odds appear in favor of the buy and hold investor rather than the market timer. Generally, if you have money to invest for the long term, it seems putting it to work quickly beats waiting to try and find the perfect moment to enter the market.
The data contained in this website isn't real-time or necessarily accurate, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Your capital is at risk. This website is intended as a source of information only, not financial advice. Under no circumstances should you trade commodities, select a broker or perform any other task connected with commodity trading without taking professional advice first. Commodities can fall in value as well as rise in value: substantial losses can be made commodity commodity trading or trading with CFD services.
Given the sheer variety of cryptocurrencies you can’t define all of them as securities or all of them as currencies. Instead a much better analogue for cryptocurrencies are real-world commodities, indeed Bitcoin is often referred to as “digital gold” and many cryptocurrencies are “mined” by computers. A commodity is normally free from outside control, barring regulations, and their value is determined by market factors.
Certainly, there are strong opinions on the efficacy of timing methods, perhaps driven by their promise of great rewards. While some assert that timing the market is possible and highly profitable, others claim that market timing is either impossible or not worth the risk. Nonetheless, it remains to be seen which of these market timing strategies will stand the test of time, if any, and what new ones will be developed. Much research and testing still needs to be done to legitimize market timing theories among academics and investors alike.
The primary reason behind this is the watershed change in global central banks’ monetary policies. For years central banks had been keeping rates near 0%, or below, and at the same time printing over a hundred billion dollars’ worth of fiat currencies each and every month to purchase bonds and stocks. That is all changing now. According to Capital Economics, fourteen major global central banks are either in the process right now, or have indicated that they be will next year, in the process of raising interest rates. At the same time, QE on a global net basis will plunge from $180 billion per month at its peak during 2017, to $0 by December…and will then go negative in 2019.
What separates commodities from other types of goods is that they are standardized and interchangeable with other goods of the same type. These features make commodities fungible. This means that two equivalent units of the same commodity should have mostly uniform prices any place in the world (* excluding local factors such as the cost of transportation and taxes).
Copper: Copper has so many industrial uses that it would be virtually impossible to build the infrastructure of a country without it. Traders often refer to the commodity as Dr. Copper. They say the metal has a Ph.D. in economics because its price is a reliable barometer of the overall health of the global economy. In fact, investing in copper is a way to express a bullish view on world GDP.

On this page, you will find our tandem Forex and World Stock Market Hours Maps. The forex map displays all four forex trading sessions and their overlaps. The stock market map displays the trading hours for major global stock exchanges. The current hour’s time frame is indicated by the dark blue column on both maps, and the time zone is GMT. Use the key below each map to get information on impending market openings and closings.
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The WSC All Weather Portfolio is based on the Maximum Diversification approach as it is balancing its underlying asset classes to minimize the overall portfolio volatility and to maximize its underlying diversification potential. It is designed to perform reasonable well during all predominant market conditions and should be regarded as a core investment.
Given the sheer variety of cryptocurrencies you can’t define all of them as securities or all of them as currencies. Instead a much better analogue for cryptocurrencies are real-world commodities, indeed Bitcoin is often referred to as “digital gold” and many cryptocurrencies are “mined” by computers. A commodity is normally free from outside control, barring regulations, and their value is determined by market factors.
When Federal reserve which is the central banking authority of the US hikes the rate , it is a known phenomenon that FII/FPIs will take out their money from emerging economies such as India and put it in Treasuries since that would give them a better rate. Also Treasuries can’t default as they are backed by the US Government. It is also very suprising to know that China holds $1.24 Trillion in US Treasuries as of June 2016. Main reason why US doesn’t want to mess with China.

Especially the cap-weighted S&P 500 is extremely concentrated and therefore tremendously flawed. Hence, holdings with higher market capitalizations have a greater impact on the value of the index than do companies with smaller market caps. For instance, the top 50 holdings of the index (10 %) account for approximately more than 50 % of its weight. Consequently, the price information causes a wrong perception of the real trend, especially in times when those heavy weighted stocks move in the opposite direction compared to the broad market. In such a situation, a major trend reversal is imminent and forces us to become a contrarian investor rather than being a trend follower. By analyzing the full holdings of the S&P 500 on an aggregate basis, this market inefficiency gives us the competitive edge to be ahead of the crowd!
The backdrop to this misery is President Mauricio Macri’s weak reform program combined with the IMF’s misdiagnosis of Argentina’s problems. Mr. Macri replaced the left-wing populist Cristina Fernández de Kirchner in December 2015. He inherited a rapidly growing public sector, huge fiscal deficits due to massive subsidies for key products, annual inflation of more than 30%, capital controls, and a dual exchange-rate system. With a slim majority in the National Congress, and facing midterm elections in October 2017, Mr. Macri adopted a gradualist approach to reform.

This is consistent with a J.P. Morgan Asset Management report published in 2016, "Staying Invested During Volatile Markets," which found that around 60% of the biggest single-day percentage gains in the S&P 500 occurred within two weeks of one of its top-10 largest percentage declines between 1995 and 2014. This means even if you're lucky enough to hit the nail on the head once in a while, no one has the foresight to correctly predict every major pop and plunge in these major indexes with any consistency.
The backdrop to this misery is President Mauricio Macri’s weak reform program combined with the IMF’s misdiagnosis of Argentina’s problems. Mr. Macri replaced the left-wing populist Cristina Fernández de Kirchner in December 2015. He inherited a rapidly growing public sector, huge fiscal deficits due to massive subsidies for key products, annual inflation of more than 30%, capital controls, and a dual exchange-rate system. With a slim majority in the National Congress, and facing midterm elections in October 2017, Mr. Macri adopted a gradualist approach to reform.
If you miss even a small handful of these major moves higher, you can kiss a good portion of your long-term return goodbye. According to J.P. Morgan Asset Management's report, for the 20-year period between Jan. 3, 1995 and Dec. 31, 2014 (including both the dot-com bubble and Great Recession) the S&P 500 returned 555% (9.9% annualized) for those investors who held on and never sold. If you missed just the 10 best days in terms of percentage gains over this more than 5,000-day period, your return was more than halved to 191%. 
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Today, nobody argues that the stock market should yield more than the bond market. But other indicators are being used as rules of thumb to judge whether the market may be at an extreme. Typically, these charts show a compelling and simple relationship that appears to identify cyclical market peaks and bottoms. I will touch on a few of the charts I encounter on a regular basis. My point is not to argue whether the U.S. stock market today is expensive or not, but merely to point out flaws in these indicators that suggest an easy answer.
30 years equals about 11,000 days. One might assume that eliminating a few of those days would have little impact on investment performance during that time. Yet, if the ten best days of the S&P 500 Index for the period 1983- 2013 are excluded, the average annual return drops from 8.40% to 5.80%. If the twenty best days are excluded, the average annual return drops to 4.09%.
If you miss even a small handful of these major moves higher, you can kiss a good portion of your long-term return goodbye. According to J.P. Morgan Asset Management's report, for the 20-year period between Jan. 3, 1995 and Dec. 31, 2014 (including both the dot-com bubble and Great Recession) the S&P 500 returned 555% (9.9% annualized) for those investors who held on and never sold. If you missed just the 10 best days in terms of percentage gains over this more than 5,000-day period, your return was more than halved to 191%. 
Stock market ups and downs may be part of the investing cycle, but they can put investors to the test. To help stay the course in volatile markets, Columbia Management offers the following illustrations based on fundamental investing principles. While no strategy can assure a profit or protect against loss, it's been shown time and again that time, not timing, matters most when building wealth for the long term.
The chart below shows two hypothetical investments in the S&P 500 over the 20-year period ending December 31, 2017. Each investor contributed $10,000 every year. One investor somehow managed to pick the very best day (the market low) of each year to invest. The average annual return on that investment would have been 9.95%. The other investor was not so lucky and actually picked the worst day (market high) each year. Even with the worst investment timing, the average annual return would have been 7.76%. At the end of 20 years, the cumulative investment of $200,000 had a value of $456,462.
The WSC All Weather Portfolio is based on the Maximum Diversification approach as it is balancing its underlying asset classes to minimize the overall portfolio volatility and to maximize its underlying diversification potential. It is designed to perform reasonable well during all predominant market conditions and should be regarded as a core investment.

Copper: Copper has so many industrial uses that it would be virtually impossible to build the infrastructure of a country without it. Traders often refer to the commodity as Dr. Copper. They say the metal has a Ph.D. in economics because its price is a reliable barometer of the overall health of the global economy. In fact, investing in copper is a way to express a bullish view on world GDP.


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And the longer the time frame — through highs and lows — the greater the chances of a positive outcome. Indeed, over the past 90 years, through December 31, 2017, 94% of 10-year periods have been positive ones. Investors who have stayed in the market through occasional (and inevitable) periods of declining stock prices historically have been rewarded for their long-term outlook.
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