The economic principle of substitution creates a risk of investing in any commodity. As prices for a particular commodity climb, buyers will seek cheaper substitutions, if available. For example, cheaper metals such as aluminum often substitute for copper in many industrial applications. Similarly, farmers may substitute between corn, oats, wheat and barley as livestock feed based on price.
ShepWave.com is an educational site. We have created this site to help give guidance to the major U.S. indices. The markets seem unpredictable to many people; we try to give clarity to what seems to be random movements in the markets. Why pay $thousands for a trend trading course. We are a live trend trading course with the current market action. Many of our traders trade individual stocks that 'track' the major indexes. Many of these stocks have a higher beta than the index therefore making a larger percentage move.
We emphasized it many times and we will continue to do so, as it’s very easy to forget about it when things get volatile on a day-to-day basis. The long-term signals are far more important than the short-term ones. In a fight, it’s not always the bigger guy (or gal) that has the advantage, but in certain circumstances it’s obvious that weight matters (please keep this picture in mind while reading about the possible counter-trend upswing in the short run – that’s the little guy while the big guy are the powerful long-term factors). That’s exactly the case with the weight and importance of long-term signals when comparing them to the short-term ones. Surely, we could get a 1-2% upswing, but so what, if a 15% decline is just around the corner? And in particular, if it could take place right away?
Coffee: The global coffee industry is enormous. In the United States alone, it accounts for more than 1.6% of GDP and an estimated 1.7 million jobs. As a commodity, coffee is intriguing for at least two reasons. The overwhelming supply of the commodity derives from just five countries. At the same time, global demand for coffee continues to grow as emerging market economies develop a taste for the beverage.

Earlier last year, Diwali Muhurat trading was conducted on 18 October 2017. A volatile trading session was seen in the stock markets with BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty closing in negative territory. The benchmark Sensex closed at 32,389.96, down 194.39 points or 0.6 per cent whereas the broader share indicator Nifty settled 64.3 points or 0.63 per cent lower at 10,146.55.
We left off in Part I showing a number of supply and demand components and briefly highlighting our newest research using a custom Gold/Silver/US Dollar ratio index.  Our attempt at finding anything new that could help us determine the future outcome of the metals markets and to either support or deny our future expectations that the metals markets are poised for a massive price advance was at stake.  This new research would either help to confirm our analysis or completely blow it out of the water with new data.  Let’s continue where we left off and start by showing even more data related to our new custom metals ratio.
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Trying to navigate the peaks and valleys of market returns, investors seem to naturally want to jump in at the lows and cash out at the highs. But no one can predict when those will occur. Of course we’d all like to avoid declines. The anxiety that keeps investors on the sidelines may save them that pain, but it may ensure they’ll miss the gain. Historically, each downturn has been followed by an eventual upswing, although there is no guarantee that will always happen. Trying to avoid risk could itself be risky, since it’s impossible to know when to get back in.
Intermediate-level fundamental traders may want to delve deeper into the end markets for particular commodities. For example, strength or weakness in the commercial real estate markets in large metropolitan areas can offer clues about demand for steel and other industrial metals. Similarly, the Cattle on Feed Report released by the USDA shows the future supply of cattle coming on to the market and can offer clues about future beef prices. Once traders become familiar with interpreting the significance of these data points, they can use them to make trading decisions.
Futures are a derivative product that allows traders to gain exposure to commodity prices without physically taking possession of the asset. With these contracts, traders agree to purchase a certain amount of a commodity at a date in the future (the expiration date). The trader pays for the contract at the time of purchase. If prices rise between the purchase date and the expiration date, the trader will profit, whereas if prices fall, the trader will lose money.
When Federal reserve which is the central banking authority of the US hikes the rate , it is a known phenomenon that FII/FPIs will take out their money from emerging economies such as India and put it in Treasuries since that would give them a better rate. Also Treasuries can’t default as they are backed by the US Government. It is also very suprising to know that China holds $1.24 Trillion in US Treasuries as of June 2016. Main reason why US doesn’t want to mess with China.
We don’t have a central bank meeting scheduled for this week, but we get the minutes of the latest ECB one. Following the upbeat remarks of President Draghi at the conference following that meeting, it will be interesting to see whether other ECB officials are on the same page. In the US, we have the CPIs for September. We get inflation data from Norway and Sweden as well.
The BSE, NSE, forex and money market remain closed today on account of Ganesh Chaturthi. Indian shares ended higher on Wednesday, snapping two sessions of declines. The rupee recovered sharply following reports that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will review economic situation over the weekend and that a rate hike is not ruled out. Rupee rebounded to 71.90 against the US dollar, from a record low of 72.92 hit earlier in the session. The broader NSE Nifty closed 0.73% firmer at 11,369.90 while the benchmark BSE Sensex ended 0.81% higher at 37,717.96.
	Managed Money are futures market participants who engage in futures trades on behalf of investment funds or clients. While Managed Money are commonly equated with hedge funds, they may include Commodity Pool Operators and other managed accounts as well as hedge funds. They tend to be early, but they are usually right on the long run. Extreme divergences in the net positions of large traders (managed money) and the price of the underlying security have proven to be reliable indicators of important trend changes. 

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For example, if you spend $10,000 on stock in company A in a taxable account and it rises $5,000 within 6 months, then selling Company A immediately would incur a 28% tax on the $5,000 gain or $1,400 of tax. But if you waited until you’d held the stock for a year and moved into long term capital gains territory, then the tax is $750 because it’s taxed at the lower rate of 15%. Hence your tax cost falls materially by waiting to hold an investment for a year assuming the price of the stock stays the same. In this theoretical example you save $650, or 13%, of your paper profits.
Some investors are primarily concerned with identifying large market cycles that endure for years at a time. Yet other traders try to isolate very narrow windows to make quick trades based on mini-market pops and drops which may last only weeks. One system uses a complex set of rules based on price and volume indicators developed by Marc Chaikin. The 10-year total return from this system is 1,388.9% or 30.3% annualized. While this may seem like the world’s greatest investing system ever, I took a closer look at how this system might work for an average investor.
Given the sheer variety of cryptocurrencies you can’t define all of them as securities or all of them as currencies. Instead a much better analogue for cryptocurrencies are real-world commodities, indeed Bitcoin is often referred to as “digital gold” and many cryptocurrencies are “mined” by computers. A commodity is normally free from outside control, barring regulations, and their value is determined by market factors.
Last week Donald Trump, in his own estimation, succeeded in replacing what he claimed to be the "worst trade deal in history" with what he claims was "the best trade deal in history." If true, this would not only make good on one of his central campaign promises, but it would be a genuinely significant development. In reality, the unveiling of the United States-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) trade deal is just the latest iteration of the President's talent for branding. As is the case in other aspects of the president's view of economic matters, the difference between then and now is almost purely semantic.
WallStreetCourier.com offers its members a strong weekly market research relying on a transparent investment approach based on our published technical market indicators (WSC-Smart). WallStreetCourier.com believes that a clear and understandable investment process (WSC-Smart) will deliver more predictable results and allows members to understand easily the underlying drivers of our weekly market research!
WallStreetCourier.com is specialized in exploiting traceable inefficiencies in the U.S. stock market. We offer precise trading recommendations based on proven and measurable facts. Each of those recommendations is highly uncorrelated to each other and can be therefore used to build a highly diversified and efficient portfolio. Success, Guidance and Sustainability through cutting-edge research. ... more»
Production Output: Sophisticated traders examine the output of leading producers for clues about big economic cycles. For example, mining companies might close mines and reduce output when metals prices are depressed. However, these actions often indicate that a market bottom is forming. Using production output from leading producers as a contrary indicator can be a profitable trading strategy.
THERE ARE ALSO LOTS OF TIPS PROVIDING COMPANY WHICH WILL CHARGE CERTAIN FEES AND PROVIDE YOU TRADING TIPS/ADVICE. SOME OF THEM DEMAND THEMSELVES MARKET RESEARCHER AND ANALYSER, INVESTMENT ADVISER. MOST OF THE BROKERS AND TIPS PROVIDING COMPANY’S TIPS/ADVICE ARE MORE LOSS MAKING THAN PROFIT MAKING. GETTING TRAPPED BY THEM , YOU LOSE SOME PROPORTION OF YOUR GOOD MONEY.
So I had subscribed to the newsletter in the mid 2000's, and it correctly called the market peak back in the summer of 2005. I acted on that information and sold a rental property in the Central Valley (before it crashed more than 50%). Yes, I had to pay some taxes, but I kept my powder dry, and was prepared when the housing market bottomed out in 2010. When the timing newsletter issued its "buy" signal, I bought back in and caught most of the upside move. So this book/newsletter saved me a lot of money in getting me out of the market before the crash.

Copper: Copper has so many industrial uses that it would be virtually impossible to build the infrastructure of a country without it. Traders often refer to the commodity as Dr. Copper. They say the metal has a Ph.D. in economics because its price is a reliable barometer of the overall health of the global economy. In fact, investing in copper is a way to express a bullish view on world GDP.


WTI hit a low point at $56 per barrel on Wednesday and Brent hit a low just below $65 per barrel. Both crude benchmarks regained some ground at the end of the week, despite the huge increase in U.S. crude oil inventories. In fact, rising prices in the face of the 10-million-barrel increase in crude stocks suggests that oil may have already hit a bottom. “[Y]esterday’s price reaction to the US inventory data shows that negative news is now largely priced in,” Commerzbank said in a note. “This is the only way to explain why an increase in US crude oil stocks of a good 10 million barrels failed to put further pressure on prices.”
In May, President Trump signed the rewrite of the 2010 Dodd-Frank law passed earlier by Congress with rare bipartisan support. The bill is the biggest rollback of bank rules since the financial crisis. According to the new law, lenders with less than $10 billion in assets will be exempted from the Volcker rule that bans proprietary trading. Moreover, the bill eases rules on all but the largest institutions, raising the threshold by which banks are considered systematically important and, thus, subject to tighter oversight from $50 to $250 billion in assets. The smallest banks between $50 and $100 billion were immediately freed of stricter regulations, while depositary institutions between $100 and $250 billion in assets will be exempt from them beginning in November 2019, although they could still be subjected to the Fed’s enhanced supervision in times of need. Last month, the Fed just unveiled a proposal for the implementation of several major provisions of the new bill.
However, on average according to the work of Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel, the stock market has, on average over long time periods, returned 6.5% to 7% a year. Thus on average, there is a potential cost to being out of the market. This is a hurdle for any timing rule or process to overcome because on average if you’re out of the market and wrong then you’re potentially losing out of a material gain, and over a period of years those losses can add up. On the other hand, if you’re in the market you’ll see ups and downs, but historically returns to longer term investors willing to hold stocks for decades and wait out bad markets has been attractive.
For conservative investors at or near retirement, inflation can be the biggest thread since at this stage many of them have converted much of their portfolio into fixed income to protect capital. As a consequence, investors will be in the need of an inflation proof portfolio since a heavy loaded bond portfolio won’t be the perfect hedge for such a scenario. So diversifying a portfolio’s income stream with investments that are less affected by inflation is the only way how to fight the upcoming inflation threads. Moreover, ...
WTI hit a low point at $56 per barrel on Wednesday and Brent hit a low just below $65 per barrel. Both crude benchmarks regained some ground at the end of the week, despite the huge increase in U.S. crude oil inventories. In fact, rising prices in the face of the 10-million-barrel increase in crude stocks suggests that oil may have already hit a bottom. “[Y]esterday’s price reaction to the US inventory data shows that negative news is now largely priced in,” Commerzbank said in a note. “This is the only way to explain why an increase in US crude oil stocks of a good 10 million barrels failed to put further pressure on prices.”
Jump up ^ From 13 November 2017, there will be a mid-day trading break from 1200h to 1300h, during which orders will not be matched. Therefore, continuous trading will be divided into two sessions: a morning session from 0900h to 1200h and an afternoon session from 1300h to 1700h. http://www.sgx.com/wps/portal/sgxweb/home/trading/securities/trading_hours_calendar
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