The 21st century ushered in the era of online trading. Soon electronic marketplaces replaced physical trading floors. These developments may have had the biggest impact on commodities futures markets since commodities trading became available to millions of people around the globe. Today dozens of countries around the world operate commodities futures exchanges.
During the three year period from January 2008 to January 2011, the S&P 500 lost 12.11%. If you owned stock in multiple large American companies, it’s likely you would’ve experienced a similar amount of loss during this time. Now imagine you sold your shares before the January ’08 crash and bought at the beginning of the bull cycle in March 2009. In less than 2 years, you would’ve been up 88%.
As we continue to explore our custom research into the metals markets and our presumption that the metals markets are poised for a massive price rally over the next few months/years, we pick up this second part of our multi-part article illustrating our research work and conclusions.  If you missed the first part of this article, please take a minute to review it by before continuing further (Link to Part I).

The Smart Money Flow Index (SMFI) has been one of the best kept secrets of Wall Street! It was developed by WallStreetCourier.com in 1997 and is a trademark of WallStreetCourier.com. The SMFI provides both short-term traders and long-term investors with a unique indicator to quickly identify major trend reversals as it called every major trend reversal since we are online! The SMFI is published at the end of each day, and it is available to all subscribers. We also provide historical charts as well as a data download (csv-file) for those looking to dig deeper into the data.
Fast-growing countries such as India and China are accumulating vast amounts of wealth as their economies grow. As a result, they have a growing need for a variety of basic goods and raw materials such as crops and livestock to feed their people, metals to build the infrastructure in their cities and energy to fuel their factories, homes and farms. Demand from emerging markets has a huge impact on commodity prices. Signs of economic slowdown in these countries can depress prices, while surging economic growth can cause commodity prices to rise.
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Researching trends and developing an understanding of the factors that move commodity markets takes considerable time and thorough research skills. Unlike stocks and bonds, the information needed to make investment decisions is often scattered in many places. Successful commodity traders are avid readers and avail themselves of information found in scholarly articles, government websites, trade publications, the Farmers’ Almanac, charting software and other sources relevant to their market.
Monday to Friday:10:00 A.M. to 11:30 P.M. (up to 11:55 P.M. on account of day light savings typically between every November and March of the following year). As per the notifications of SEBI, Agri-commodities are available for futures trading up to 5:00 p.m. while other commodities such as Bullions, Metals and Energy products are available up to 11:30 pm / 11.55 PM and International referenceable Agri-commodities are available up to 09:00 pm / 09.30 PM.
The trade in commodities takes place in either spot markets or futures markets. In spot markets, the commodity trade happens immediately, in exchange for cash or other commodities. In futures markets, buyers and sellers trade a commodity based on a standardised contract. You do not have to compulsorily make or accept deliveries of physical goods here. Trade in futures contracts happens electronically and the contracts can be settled in cash.
Trade Responsibly: CFDs and Options are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs and Options work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Please refer to our full risk disclaimer. Easy Forex Trading Ltd (CySEC – License Number 079/07).
The basic idea behind the WSC Sector Rotation Strategy is that the economy operates in repetitive cycles. An economic cycle is generally divided into four stages: early expansion, late expansion, early recession and full recession. The stage in which an economy operates has a significant impact on the profitability and prospects of different sectors. Therefore the WSC Sector Rotation Strategy is investing the strongest sectors of the S&P 500 and it is additionally providing an optimal draw down protection during bear markets.
The past decade has been unsettling for many investors. The recession of 2008–2009 made some investors so fearful, they stopped contributing to their accounts — or even withdrew their money at market lows, thus locking in the losses. They may have thought sitting out for a while seemed like a good strategy. But trying to avoid the worst drops means also missing the opportunity for gains (and frequently investors get out too late to avoid the worst of the decline). The chart below shows what would have happened to a hypothetical investment of $1,000 in the S&P 500 in the decade of 2008 through 2017 if an investor had missed the best days of that period.
WTI hit a low point at $56 per barrel on Wednesday and Brent hit a low just below $65 per barrel. Both crude benchmarks regained some ground at the end of the week, despite the huge increase in U.S. crude oil inventories. In fact, rising prices in the face of the 10-million-barrel increase in crude stocks suggests that oil may have already hit a bottom. “[Y]esterday’s price reaction to the US inventory data shows that negative news is now largely priced in,” Commerzbank said in a note. “This is the only way to explain why an increase in US crude oil stocks of a good 10 million barrels failed to put further pressure on prices.”

Following two years without so much as a whisper of volatility, the iconic Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) and broad-based S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) are seemingly doing their best to keep investors on the edge of their seats. In February, the CBOE Volatility Index briefly hit a nine-year high following three grim single-day performances over a span of six days that saw the Dow lose 666 points, 1,033 points, and 1,175 points, its biggest single-day decline in history.


Valeriy Zakamulin is Professor of Finance at the School of Business and Law, University of Agder, Norway. He has an M.S. in Business Administration and a PhD in Finance from the Norwegian School of Economics, Norway. He has published articles for various refereed academic and practitioner journals and is a frequent speaker at international conferences. He has also served on the Editorial Board of the Open Economics Journal, Journal of Banking and Finance, and International Journal of Emerging Markets. His current research interests cover behavioral finance, portfolio optimization, time-series analysis of financial data, and stock return and risk predictability.
The recent upswing in NG prices has been an incredible trade for many, yet we believe a top is now forming in Natural Gas that could catch many traders by surprise.  The recent upside gap in price and upward price volatility would normally not concern long traders.  They would likely view this as a tremendous success for their long NG positions, yet we believe this move is about to come to a dramatic end – fairly quickly.
WTI hit a low point at $56 per barrel on Wednesday and Brent hit a low just below $65 per barrel. Both crude benchmarks regained some ground at the end of the week, despite the huge increase in U.S. crude oil inventories. In fact, rising prices in the face of the 10-million-barrel increase in crude stocks suggests that oil may have already hit a bottom. “[Y]esterday’s price reaction to the US inventory data shows that negative news is now largely priced in,” Commerzbank said in a note. “This is the only way to explain why an increase in US crude oil stocks of a good 10 million barrels failed to put further pressure on prices.”
What separates commodities from other types of goods is that they are standardized and interchangeable with other goods of the same type. These features make commodities fungible. This means that two equivalent units of the same commodity should have mostly uniform prices any place in the world (* excluding local factors such as the cost of transportation and taxes).
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