The recent upswing in NG prices has been an incredible trade for many, yet we believe a top is now forming in Natural Gas that could catch many traders by surprise.  The recent upside gap in price and upward price volatility would normally not concern long traders.  They would likely view this as a tremendous success for their long NG positions, yet we believe this move is about to come to a dramatic end – fairly quickly.
Shepwave.com specializes in trading QQQ,DIA as well as QQQ options and DIA options. We give QQQ analysis and DIA analysis in our Trade Diary Updates. The QQQ and DIA are ETFs for the Nasdaq 100 and Dow Industrials indexes. We give analysis for the Nasdaq 100 index as well as the QQQ. We trade the QQQ. ShepWave gives analysis for the Dow Industrials index. We trade the DIA ETF for the index. ShepWave gives trading analysis for the S&P 500 index. We do not trade the index but give analysis for those that do. ShepWave.com also trades Options for the QQQ and DIA ETFs. We show exact option entry, side we are on and strike price as well as expiration month of the option contracts we purchase.
Daylight Savings Time (DST) is generally applicable in autumn and spring; however, it is not equally applicable to all instruments. There will be instruments that apply DST to USA times, with the EU or APAC times, while others may not apply DST at all. Our trading times are updated in the table below to reflect these changes as accurately as possible.
China demand, the China and India “love trade”, cyclical inflation driving up the prices of commodities and resources and the classic… economic growth in the US will create cost-push inflation through wage increases with the smart money seeking inflation protection in gold. All of those and a veritable Turducken of mishmashed ingredients were served to gold bugs as a decidedly not delectable appetizer before the main course.
Placing a sell/stop in the correct place works great for the 1 X leveraged etf, but when you are in a 3 X leveraged etf setting the sell/stop is a totally different game. Very rarely do I let the original sell/stop be hit before I will exit the trade as you have to give the stock some wiggle room when you first take a position. As more information becomes available you can start to make adjustments to your sell/stop mentally. A 3 X etf can get away from you in a heartbeat so one has to pay very close attention at all times.
So the market may be less driven by predictable patterns than our brains may lead us to believe. The track record of investors actually timing the market has been poor, perhaps due to emotions clouding judgement, and some past events such as the October 1987 market crash appear extremely hard to forecast because the causes of them are unclear, or at least still debated, even decades after the event. Then there are structural factors against market timing too in terms of both taxes, direct costs and the opportunity cost of being out of a market that has historically risen in value over time. To say nothing of the cost of your time. All of this is not to say that timing is impossible, but the odds appear in favor of the buy and hold investor rather than the market timer. Generally, if you have money to invest for the long term, it seems putting it to work quickly beats waiting to try and find the perfect moment to enter the market.
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Limited trading hours help to reduce volatility in stock prices but also limits the liquidity of stocks. When trading hours are shorter more news reports and earnings reports are published while the markets are closed. As a result, investors have more time to process new information and general make fewer knee-jerk reactions. Read more about how trading hours vary around the world.
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