Raymond A. Merriman is a market analyst and editor of the MMA Cycles Report, an advisory market letter used by financial institutions, investors, and traders throughout the world since 1981. He also edits the SOS Special Stock Market Report, which is issued 8 times per year and continually updates the status of long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, and individual stocks. Mr. Merriman has worked as an Investment Advisor for Prudential Securities and Shearson Lehman Hutton, as well as Accounts Vice-President of Retail Commodity Futures for Pain Webber Inc., between 1986-1994. He is the author of "Merriman on Market Cycles: The Basics," (1994) "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes," (1997) "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlation to Trading Cycles," (2001), and "The Sun, The Moon, and the Silver Market: Secrets of a Silver Trader" (1992).
We left off in Part I showing a number of supply and demand components and briefly highlighting our newest research using a custom Gold/Silver/US Dollar ratio index. Our attempt at finding anything new that could help us determine the future outcome of the metals markets and to either support or deny our future expectations that the metals markets are poised for a massive price advance was at stake. This new research would either help to confirm our analysis or completely blow it out of the water with new data. Let’s continue where we left off and start by showing even more data related to our new custom metals ratio.
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National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) is a national level on-line multi commodity exchange which commenced operations on December 15, 2003. It offers futures trading in both agriculture and non-agriculture commodities. The Exchange has eight shareholders: Canara Bank, CRISIL Limited, ICICI Bank Limited, IFFCO, LIC, NABARD, NSE and PNB. All the shareholders bring along with them expertise in closely related fields such as risk management (CRISIL), rural bank network (Canara Bank in the south and PNB in the north), technology (ICICI Bank), agriculture (NABARD), on-line trading technology and derivative trading (NSE), market reach (IFFCO which has the largest number of farm cooperatives) and expertise in institution building (LIC).
Natural Gas: Natural gas is used in a variety of industrial, residential and commercial applications including electricity generation. It is considered a clean fossil fuel source and has garnered increasing demand from more countries and economic sectors. The United States and Russia have emerged as the leading producers of this important global commodity.
Brent crude oil jumps back over $60 after 'Black Friday' plungeGold prices flat amid stronger dollar, investors look to G20 summitAs oil plunges, the real Opec meeting will be at next week's G20Gold drops Rs 200 on lacklustre demand; silver falls Rs 500Gold declines on weak global cues, low demandOil's Black Friday drop could hit drilling budgets for 2019
Trying to navigate the peaks and valleys of market returns, investors seem to naturally want to jump in at the lows and cash out at the highs. But no one can predict when those will occur. Of course we’d all like to avoid declines. The anxiety that keeps investors on the sidelines may save them that pain, but it may ensure they’ll miss the gain. Historically, each downturn has been followed by an eventual upswing, although there is no guarantee that will always happen. Trying to avoid risk could itself be risky, since it’s impossible to know when to get back in.
An options purchase will be profitable only if the price of the future exceeds the strike price (in the case of a call) by an amount greater than the premium paid for the contract. For a put purchase to be profitable, the price of the future must fall below the strike price by an amount greater than the premium paid for the put. Therefore, options buyers must be right about the size as well as the timing of the move in futures to profit from their trades.
** Each market will close early at 1:00 p.m. (1:15 p.m. for eligible options) on Friday, November 23, 2018, Friday, November 29, 2019, and Friday, November 27, 2020 (the day after Thanksgiving). Crossing Session orders will be accepted beginning at 1:00 p.m. for continuous executions until 1:30 p.m. on these dates, and NYSE American Equities, NYSE Arca Equities, and NYSE National late trading sessions will close at 5:00 pm. All times are Eastern Time.
For example, the greatest loss for investors according to Dalbar data over the past 30 years came in October 2008. This was a volatile month; the S&P 500 started above 1,100 but at times closed in the 800s, representing a decline of 27% within a single month. Only the S&P 500 then rebounded somewhat and finished the month 14% off the lows. Clearly, October 2008 was a roller coaster of a month and relatively unusual in market history - we saw greater swings in October 2008 than are often seen over a whole year.
Nonetheless, if there are real patterns to be found whether by looking at charts or other analysis, let’s look at how good investors actually are at finding them and timing the market. Dalbar, a financial market research firm, examine returns investors received relative to the market. They find over the past 20 years, investors in equity funds have lagged the S&P 500 benchmark by an average of 4.66% per year, on average. Part of this outcome is due to poor timing decisions according to Dalbar's analysis.
Monday to Friday:10:00 A.M. to 11:30 P.M. (up to 11:55 P.M. on account of day light savings typically between every November and March of the following year). As per the notifications of SEBI, Agri-commodities are available for futures trading up to 5:00 p.m. while other commodities such as Bullions, Metals and Energy products are available up to 11:30 pm / 11.55 PM and International referenceable Agri-commodities are available up to 09:00 pm / 09.30 PM.
Gasoline: The main use of this refined crude oil product is as a source of fuel for cars, light-duty trucks and motorcycles. Gasoline prices can have an enormous effect on the overall economy since demand for the commodity is generally inelastic. That is, consumers need to put gasoline in their vehicles to go to work, school and other essential activities. Many traders trade crack spreads, which are the differences between crude oil prices and the price of refined crude products such as gasoline.
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