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While back-testing such techniques reveals profitable results, it is not a slam-dunk for future outcomes. Like any system, it takes a disciplined investor to follow the system and not be swayed by their own emotions when the data is not in agreement. Even for proven market timing strategies, there will always be investor error to consider, since computer-based models don’t take this into account. Moreover, the economy and market are ever-changing and may introduce new variables or alter old assumptions which can further complicate these strategies or affect their results.
For example, the greatest loss for investors according to Dalbar data over the past 30 years came in October 2008. This was a volatile month; the S&P 500 started above 1,100 but at times closed in the 800s, representing a decline of 27% within a single month. Only the S&P 500 then rebounded somewhat and finished the month 14% off the lows. Clearly, October 2008 was a roller coaster of a month and relatively unusual in market history - we saw greater swings in October 2008 than are often seen over a whole year.
This is consistent with a J.P. Morgan Asset Management report published in 2016, "Staying Invested During Volatile Markets," which found that around 60% of the biggest single-day percentage gains in the S&P 500 occurred within two weeks of one of its top-10 largest percentage declines between 1995 and 2014. This means even if you're lucky enough to hit the nail on the head once in a while, no one has the foresight to correctly predict every major pop and plunge in these major indexes with any consistency.
Diwali is an auspicious day and stock market remains close on this day. As a Muhurat Trading Session (Mahurat Trading) BSE and NSE remain open for 60 minutes on Diwali evening. People do muhurat trades for the coming year. Its been happiness is flowing all over the stock market. People mainly do delivery trades on this day to have a good trading year ahead. As per Hindus Diwali is the festival on which they do Chopda Pujan and Muhurat Trading is done by them to give a good entry in the stock for the coming year. On Diwali Muhurat Trading Celebrities of India come to ring the bell in BSE and it becomes a tradition nowadays.
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