The paper titled Mutual Fund Performance cited a broad U.S. and UK study on mutual funds. One finding was that active fund managers were, on average, able to very slightly time the market. However, their net gains were almost entirely consumed in management and transaction fees and thereby had virtually no effect on overall fund performance. If trained professionals that actively manage mutual funds can only slightly time the market, it’s unlikely that casual investors will be able to do so at all. It’s also important to beware of common lies told by mutual fund managers.
Cryptocurrencies are a unique sort of asset and defy easy classification. Many argue that cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin are currencies. This assessment makes sense given Bitcoin’s ambitions to supplant fiat currencies. The problem with this assessment is that it ignores the fact that centralization and government interference are one of the key features of a currency. Governments and banks regularly manipulate their own currencies in order to maintain favourable market positions and would be unable to do this using Bitcoin.
We don’t have a central bank meeting scheduled for this week, but we get the minutes of the latest ECB one. Following the upbeat remarks of President Draghi at the conference following that meeting, it will be interesting to see whether other ECB officials are on the same page. In the US, we have the CPIs for September. We get inflation data from Norway and Sweden as well.
Block trade Cross listing Dark pool Dividend Dual-listed company DuPont analysis Efficient frontier Flight-to-quality Haircut Initial public offering Long Margin Market anomaly Market capitalization Market depth Market manipulation Market trend Mean reversion Momentum Open outcry Position Public float Public offering Rally Returns-based style analysis Reverse stock split Share repurchase Short selling Slippage Speculation Stock dilution Stock market index Stock split Trade Uptick rule Volatility Voting interest Yield
The idea of trading prices, as opposed to physical goods, eventually made its way to other markets. In 1981, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) launched the first cash-settled futures contract on the Eurodollar. Essentially, upon expiration of a cash-settled futures contract, the seller of the contact does not physically deliver the underlying asset but instead transfers the associated cash position. Once the US Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) approved the Eurodollar futures contract, exchanges began listing cash-settled futures contracts on traditional commodities.
Stock Market Timing,Volume 2 analyzes and gives weighted values (scores) to each long-term planetary cycle, its phases (aspects), and their correlation to 50-week or greater cycles in the U.S. stock market -- going all the way back to the beginning in 1789! Which planetary cycles correlate with the 18-year and greater stock market cycles (and hence trends)? Which correlate more with the four-year cycles? Which correlate with long-term cycle crests, and which to long-term cycle troughs? And what is the correlation to the three long-term Saturn Planetary pair cycles that just started June 25, 1998 and last through May, 2000?
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“In case, stock exchanges are desirous of extending the trade timings beyond the extant trading hours, prior approval from SEBI shall be sought along with a detailed proposal including the framework for risk management, settlement process, monitoring of positions, availability of manpower, system capability, surveillance systems, etc,” SEBI said further.
People rolled their eyes when I told them I was following a newsletter to try to time the real estate market. I think my attempts to evangelize the logic of Campbell's timing system fell on deaf ears. But the proof was in the pudding, and I think that last housing boom-bust cycle (rising through 2006, then falling for about 4 years, and then rising for most of the last 5 years) made believers out of many of the skeptics.
In May, President Trump signed the rewrite of the 2010 Dodd-Frank law passed earlier by Congress with rare bipartisan support. The bill is the biggest rollback of bank rules since the financial crisis. According to the new law, lenders with less than $10 billion in assets will be exempted from the Volcker rule that bans proprietary trading. Moreover, the bill eases rules on all but the largest institutions, raising the threshold by which banks are considered systematically important and, thus, subject to tighter oversight from $50 to $250 billion in assets. The smallest banks between $50 and $100 billion were immediately freed of stricter regulations, while depositary institutions between $100 and $250 billion in assets will be exempt from them beginning in November 2019, although they could still be subjected to the Fed’s enhanced supervision in times of need. Last month, the Fed just unveiled a proposal for the implementation of several major provisions of the new bill.
Mr. Bear however, has been assigned a totally different mission. When it’s his turn he has been tasked to use those very same investors to power the trend to un-dreamed of lows. This is a mission even more difficult than Mr. Bull’s because counter to Mr. Bull it’s Mr. Bear’s duty to actually keep those investors in the market despite it falling over time, which is no easy task. This is because if these investors just gave up and left the market it would simply stop going down. His mission requires a particularly high level of deviance to pull off. It’s why Mr. Market retains a particularly fond place in his heart for Mr. Bear, since Mr. Market has a diabolical nature and like the Grand Inquisitor, he has no problem drawing blood.
Brent crude oil jumps back over $60 after 'Black Friday' plungeGold prices flat amid stronger dollar, investors look to G20 summitAs oil plunges, the real Opec meeting will be at next week's G20Gold drops Rs 200 on lacklustre demand; silver falls Rs 500Gold declines on weak global cues, low demandOil's Black Friday drop could hit drilling budgets for 2019
Especially the cap-weighted S&P 500 is extremely concentrated and therefore tremendously flawed. Hence, holdings with higher market capitalizations have a greater impact on the value of the index than do companies with smaller market caps. For instance, the top 50 holdings of the index (10 %) account for approximately more than 50 % of its weight. Consequently, the price information causes a wrong perception of the real trend, especially in times when those heavy weighted stocks move in the opposite direction compared to the broad market. In such a situation, a major trend reversal is imminent and forces us to become a contrarian investor rather than being a trend follower. By analyzing the full holdings of the S&P 500 on an aggregate basis, this market inefficiency gives us the competitive edge to be ahead of the crowd!
During the three year period from January 2008 to January 2011, the S&P 500 lost 12.11%. If you owned stock in multiple large American companies, it’s likely you would’ve experienced a similar amount of loss during this time. Now imagine you sold your shares before the January ’08 crash and bought at the beginning of the bull cycle in March 2009. In less than 2 years, you would’ve been up 88%.
When Federal reserve which is the central banking authority of the US hikes the rate , it is a known phenomenon that FII/FPIs will take out their money from emerging economies such as India and put it in Treasuries since that would give them a better rate. Also Treasuries can’t default as they are backed by the US Government. It is also very suprising to know that China holds $1.24 Trillion in US Treasuries as of June 2016. Main reason why US doesn’t want to mess with China.
Some newer cryptocurrencies can be considered something closer to securities. Indeed, the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA) has published guidelines on Initial Coin Offerings or ICOs breaking them into three categories. Many ICO tokens act as something akin to shares in a company and FINMA plans to regulate them under the same rules.
Limited trading hours help to reduce volatility in stock prices but also limits the liquidity of stocks. When trading hours are shorter more news reports and earnings reports are published while the markets are closed. As a result, investors have more time to process new information and general make fewer knee-jerk reactions. Read more about how trading hours vary around the world.