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Have you heard about the Everything Bubble? Some analysts believe that after the dot-com bubble of the 1990s and the housing bubble of the 2000s, we are in the middle of a price bubble in virtually all asset classes simultaneously caused by the Fed’s unusually easy monetary policy with ultra low interest rates. Although we agree that the US central bank maintained federal funds rate too low for too long, the narrative about a dangerous bubble inflating in a wide variety of countries, industries, and assets does not make sense. The bubble means that the price of an asset deviates from the fundamental value, increasing excessively, to a much greater extent than on other markets. It should be now clear that the existence of overvalued assets necessarily means that other assets are undervalued, so there can’t be the ‘everything bubble’. Sorry, but those who wait for the total asset apocalypse might be disappointed.
There have also been on-and-off concerns about rising interest rates. Though we're still well below the historic average for the federal funds target rate, the Federal Reserve is very clearly in a monetary tightening mode. As rates rise, lending becomes more expensive, putting a cap on corporate growth potential and exposing certain companies valued at high premiums.
Are the metals markets ending a price correction in unison and preparing for a massive price advance?  This is the question we asked our research team to investigate and their findings may help skilled traders identify great opportunities in the future.  This multi-part research article will share our most recent opinion about the metals markets as well as share some critical new data that can shed some light into what we believe will become a massive upside price rally in the metals markets. Let’s get into the data.
Over the past 90 years, the S&P 500 has gone up and down each year. In fact 27% of those years had negative results. As you can see in the chart below, one-year investments produced negative results more often than investments held for longer periods. If those short-term one-year investors had held on for just two more years, they would have experienced nearly half as many negative periods.
National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) is a national level on-line multi commodity exchange which commenced operations on December 15, 2003. It offers futures trading in both agriculture and non-agriculture commodities. The Exchange has eight shareholders: Canara Bank, CRISIL Limited, ICICI Bank Limited, IFFCO, LIC, NABARD, NSE and PNB. All the shareholders bring along with them expertise in closely related fields such as risk management (CRISIL), rural bank network (Canara Bank in the south and PNB in the north), technology (ICICI Bank), agriculture (NABARD), on-line trading technology and derivative trading (NSE), market reach (IFFCO which has the largest number of farm cooperatives) and expertise in institution building (LIC).
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