Nonetheless, if there are real patterns to be found whether by looking at charts or other analysis, let’s look at how good investors actually are at finding them and timing the market. Dalbar, a financial market research firm, examine returns investors received relative to the market. They find over the past 20 years, investors in equity funds have lagged the S&P 500 benchmark by an average of 4.66% per year, on average. Part of this outcome is due to poor timing decisions according to Dalbar's analysis.

Some investors are primarily concerned with identifying large market cycles that endure for years at a time. Yet other traders try to isolate very narrow windows to make quick trades based on mini-market pops and drops which may last only weeks. One system uses a complex set of rules based on price and volume indicators developed by Marc Chaikin. The 10-year total return from this system is 1,388.9% or 30.3% annualized. While this may seem like the world’s greatest investing system ever, I took a closer look at how this system might work for an average investor.

Soybeans: Soybeans play a critical role in the global food ecosystem. The oil from the crop is used in many products including bread, crackers, cakes, cookies and salad dressings, while the meal from crushed soybeans serves as the main source of food for livestock. Soybean oil also serves as a feedstock in the production of biofuels. The growing need for food and fuel in emerging market economies could drive demand for soybeans. Three countries – the United States, Brazil and Argentina – account for 80% of global production.
Stock market timings in India are something which every trader and investor should know. In fact, if anyone who deals in the stock trading or its related field must know everything about share market timing . The Indian stock market comprises of two exchanges: National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). However, the timings of both the exchange are similar.
“In case, stock exchanges are desirous of extending the trade timings beyond the extant trading hours, prior approval from SEBI shall be sought along with a detailed proposal including the framework for risk management, settlement process, monitoring of positions, availability of manpower, system capability, surveillance systems, etc,” SEBI said further.
If you’re a trader or investor, it’s important to know and understand what time the stock market opens. If you place a trade outside of stock market hours, your trade will wait in a queue until the start of the next trading session. This can also make a big difference on the prices you’ll get for your trade, since news or other events can happen in the interim.

But we can see that investors can be their own worst enemy - selling at the times of greatest panic, and potentially then missing out on subsequent gains. Basically, although you can look at a stock chart and imagine what you might do, your actual behavior may be quite different than you project due to the emotions of fear and greed. This can consume even the most well intentioned investor. Therefore, for many investors what appears to be rational market timing may actually be giving into the emotions of fear and greed, with unfortunate results. Of course, it is tempting to believe that you are a better investor than average, or at least better at keeping your emotions under control, but there is also substantial evidence that people are generally over confident about their own ability in many fields from driving safety to investing skill.


Fundamental Analysis: This strategy makes trades based on the underlying economic factors that determine the value of an asset. Traders that use fundamental analysis need to develop a keen understanding of the factors that influence the supply and demand picture for a particular commodity. Supply and demand are opposing forces. Rising demand positively impacts prices, while rising supply negatively impacts prices

If you pay 28% tax on your marginal income, then you also generally pay that on short-term capital gains too, but under the current tax code, long-term capital gains are taxed at 15%. That’s important, and works out to be a significant difference, because though it may seem counter-intuitive, waiting to sell a stock with a gain to achieve a potentially better tax outcome has the potential to improve your return.
Raymond A. Merriman is a market analyst and editor of the MMA Cycles Report, an advisory market letter used by financial institutions, investors, and traders throughout the world since 1981. He also edits the SOS Special Stock Market Report, which is issued 8 times per year and continually updates the status of long-term cycles in the U.S. stock market, and individual stocks. Mr. Merriman has worked as an Investment Advisor for Prudential Securities and Shearson Lehman Hutton, as well as Accounts Vice-President of Retail Commodity Futures for Pain Webber Inc., between 1986-1994. He is the author of "Merriman on Market Cycles: The Basics," (1994) "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indexes," (1997) "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlation to Trading Cycles," (2001), and "The Sun, The Moon, and the Silver Market: Secrets of a Silver Trader" (1992).
When Federal reserve which is the central banking authority of the US hikes the rate , it is a known phenomenon that FII/FPIs will take out their money from emerging economies such as India and put it in Treasuries since that would give them a better rate. Also Treasuries can’t default as they are backed by the US Government. It is also very suprising to know that China holds $1.24 Trillion in US Treasuries as of June 2016. Main reason why US doesn’t want to mess with China.
The consumer price index climbed 0.3 percent last month, after rising 0.1 percent in September, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. It was the biggest rise since January, and it was mainly caused by an impressive surge in the fuel oil (+3.7 percent) and gasoline indices (+3 percent). However, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy, also rose, advancing 0.2 percent in October, following a 0.1-percent increase in September.
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Sugar: Sugar is not only a sweetener, but it also plays an important role in the production of ethanol fuel. Historically, governments across the world have intervened heavily in the sugar market. Subsidies and tariffs on imports often produce anomalies in prices and make sugar an interesting commodity to trade. Although sugar cane is grown all over the world, the ten largest producing countries account for about three-quarters of all production.
“In 2017, the percentage of S&P 500 sales from foreign countries increased slightly, after two years of measured decreases. The overall rate for 2017 was 43.6%, up from 43.2% in 2016, but down from 44.3% in 2015 and 47.8% in 2014, which was at least an 11-year record high. S&P 500 foreign sales represent products and services produced and sold outside of the U.S.“
Mr. Bear however, has been assigned a totally different mission.  When it’s his turn he has been tasked to use those very same investors to power the trend to un-dreamed of lows.  This is a mission even more difficult than Mr. Bull’s because counter to Mr. Bull it’s Mr. Bear’s duty to actually keep those investors in the market despite it falling over time, which is no easy task. This is because if these investors just gave up and left the market it would simply stop going down.   His mission requires a particularly high level of deviance to pull off.  It’s why Mr. Market retains a particularly fond place in his heart for Mr. Bear, since Mr. Market has a diabolical nature and like the Grand Inquisitor, he has no problem drawing blood.
WallStreetCourier.com is specialized in exploiting traceable inefficiencies in the U.S. stock market. We offer precise trading recommendations based on proven and measurable facts. Each of those recommendations is highly uncorrelated to each other and can be therefore used to build a highly diversified and efficient portfolio. Success, Guidance and Sustainability through cutting-edge research. ... more»
As the world’s reserve currency, the dollar can often dictate the direction of commodity prices. When the value of the dollar drops against other currencies, it takes more dollars to purchase commodities than it does when the price is high. Put another way, sellers of commodities get fewer dollars for their product when the dollar is strong and more dollars when the currency is weak. Factors such as weak employment or GDP numbers in the United States can weaken the dollar and lead to higher commodity prices, while strong economic numbers can weaken commodity prices.
Following two years without so much as a whisper of volatility, the iconic Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) and broad-based S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC) are seemingly doing their best to keep investors on the edge of their seats. In February, the CBOE Volatility Index briefly hit a nine-year high following three grim single-day performances over a span of six days that saw the Dow lose 666 points, 1,033 points, and 1,175 points, its biggest single-day decline in history.
To allow buyers and sellers to lock in transaction prices prior to delivery, the parties created forward contracts. These contracts bound the seller to deliver an agreed-upon amount of the grain in question for an agreed-upon price at an agreed-upon date. In exchange for this obligation, the seller would receive payment upfront for the grains. These contracts are called forward contracts. They trade in the over-the-counter market, which means the contracts are privately negotiated between two parties. The buyer faces the risk that the seller might default on the contract and fail to deliver the asset.
Monday to Friday:10:00 A.M. to 11:30 P.M. (up to 11:55 P.M. on account of day light savings typically between every November and March of the following year). As per the notifications of SEBI, Agri-commodities are available for futures trading up to 5:00 p.m. while other commodities such as Bullions, Metals and Energy products are available up to 11:30 pm / 11.55 PM and International referenceable Agri-commodities are available up to 09:00 pm / 09.30 PM.

But we can see that investors can be their own worst enemy - selling at the times of greatest panic, and potentially then missing out on subsequent gains. Basically, although you can look at a stock chart and imagine what you might do, your actual behavior may be quite different than you project due to the emotions of fear and greed. This can consume even the most well intentioned investor. Therefore, for many investors what appears to be rational market timing may actually be giving into the emotions of fear and greed, with unfortunate results. Of course, it is tempting to believe that you are a better investor than average, or at least better at keeping your emotions under control, but there is also substantial evidence that people are generally over confident about their own ability in many fields from driving safety to investing skill.


Cryptocurrencies are a unique sort of asset and defy easy classification. Many argue that cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin are currencies. This assessment makes sense given Bitcoin’s ambitions to supplant fiat currencies. The problem with this assessment is that it ignores the fact that centralization and government interference are one of the key features of a currency. Governments and banks regularly manipulate their own currencies in order to maintain favourable market positions and would be unable to do this using Bitcoin.
The major gold miners’ stocks remain mired in universal bearishness, largely left for dead.  They are just wrapping up their third-quarter earnings season, which proved challenging.  Lower gold prices cut deeply into cash flows and profits, and production-growth struggles persisted.  But these elite companies did hold the line on costs, portending soaring earnings as gold recovers.  Their absurdly-cheap stock prices aren’t justified.
The BSE, NSE, forex and money market remain closed today on account of Ganesh Chaturthi. Indian shares ended higher on Wednesday, snapping two sessions of declines. The rupee recovered sharply following reports that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will review economic situation over the weekend and that a rate hike is not ruled out. Rupee rebounded to 71.90 against the US dollar, from a record low of 72.92 hit earlier in the session. The broader NSE Nifty closed 0.73% firmer at 11,369.90 while the benchmark BSE Sensex ended 0.81% higher at 37,717.96.
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