Valeriy Zakamulin is Professor of Finance at the School of Business and Law, University of Agder, Norway. He has an M.S. in Business Administration and a PhD in Finance from the Norwegian School of Economics, Norway. He has published articles for various refereed academic and practitioner journals and is a frequent speaker at international conferences. He has also served on the Editorial Board of the Open Economics Journal, Journal of Banking and Finance, and International Journal of Emerging Markets. His current research interests cover behavioral finance, portfolio optimization, time-series analysis of financial data, and stock return and risk predictability.
At first I did not know what to expect from this book because the cover seemed very amateurish, but I found it interesting. The author describes how he gathered data for San Diego real estate market, and tested whether there were any correlations between different variables. He came up with five Vital Signs that provide valuable clues for anticipating trends. They are:
MCX stands for Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited and is headquartered at Mumbai. It is state-of-the-art electronic commodity futures exchange. The demutualised Exchange is set up by Financial Technologies (India) Ltd (FTIL) and it has permanent recognition from the Government of India to facilitate online trading, and clearing and settlement operations for commodity futures across the country. It started its operations in November 2003 and now it has a market share of over 80% of the Indian commodity futures market, and has more than 2000 registered members operating through over 100,000 trader work stations, across India. It is pertinent to note that Exchange has also emerged as the sixth largest and amongst the fastest growing commodity futures exchange in the world, in terms of the number of contracts traded in 2009.
Block trade Cross listing Dark pool Dividend Dual-listed company DuPont analysis Efficient frontier Flight-to-quality Haircut Initial public offering Long Margin Market anomaly Market capitalization Market depth Market manipulation Market trend Mean reversion Momentum Open outcry Position Public float Public offering Rally Returns-based style analysis Reverse stock split Share repurchase Short selling Slippage Speculation Stock dilution Stock market index Stock split Trade Uptick rule Volatility Voting interest Yield

Researching trends and developing an understanding of the factors that move commodity markets takes considerable time and thorough research skills. Unlike stocks and bonds, the information needed to make investment decisions is often scattered in many places. Successful commodity traders are avid readers and avail themselves of information found in scholarly articles, government websites, trade publications, the Farmers’ Almanac, charting software and other sources relevant to their market.


Mr. Bear however, has been assigned a totally different mission.  When it’s his turn he has been tasked to use those very same investors to power the trend to un-dreamed of lows.  This is a mission even more difficult than Mr. Bull’s because counter to Mr. Bull it’s Mr. Bear’s duty to actually keep those investors in the market despite it falling over time, which is no easy task. This is because if these investors just gave up and left the market it would simply stop going down.   His mission requires a particularly high level of deviance to pull off.  It’s why Mr. Market retains a particularly fond place in his heart for Mr. Bear, since Mr. Market has a diabolical nature and like the Grand Inquisitor, he has no problem drawing blood.
And the longer the time frame — through highs and lows — the greater the chances of a positive outcome. Indeed, over the past 90 years, through December 31, 2017, 94% of 10-year periods have been positive ones. Investors who have stayed in the market through occasional (and inevitable) periods of declining stock prices historically have been rewarded for their long-term outlook.
As the world’s reserve currency, the dollar can often dictate the direction of commodity prices. When the value of the dollar drops against other currencies, it takes more dollars to purchase commodities than it does when the price is high. Put another way, sellers of commodities get fewer dollars for their product when the dollar is strong and more dollars when the currency is weak. Factors such as weak employment or GDP numbers in the United States can weaken the dollar and lead to higher commodity prices, while strong economic numbers can weaken commodity prices.
This is consistent with a J.P. Morgan Asset Management report published in 2016, "Staying Invested During Volatile Markets," which found that around 60% of the biggest single-day percentage gains in the S&P 500 occurred within two weeks of one of its top-10 largest percentage declines between 1995 and 2014. This means even if you're lucky enough to hit the nail on the head once in a while, no one has the foresight to correctly predict every major pop and plunge in these major indexes with any consistency.
Placing a sell/stop in the correct place works great for the 1 X leveraged etf, but when you are in a 3 X leveraged etf setting the sell/stop is a totally different game. Very rarely do I let the original sell/stop be hit before I will exit the trade as you have to give the stock some wiggle room when you first take a position. As more information becomes available you can start to make adjustments to your sell/stop mentally. A 3 X etf can get away from you in a heartbeat so one has to pay very close attention at all times.
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